[ARTICLE] [Monday, January 5, 2026]
RuntimeException: geopoliticalStability.maintain() Threw PresidentialOusterException
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SUMMARY
Deployment of `maduroRemoval.js` caused `china.reactionService` to log `DeeplyShocked`, but `tradeWar.trigger()` remains `false`.
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DETAILS
========================================
Reproduction Steps
To replicate the observed behavior, a developer might execute the following:
$ debugpost run geopolitical.scenario.maduro_removal --env=production --force --region=LATAM --target=VEZNote: This operation appears to bypass several layers of internationalLaw.validation() and is not recommended for routine execution in a stable environment.
[LOGS] Runtime Logs
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INFO
[world.governance.US/prod]
Initiating operation: `target_acquisition.Maduro`
[
2026-01-03 10:30:00.000 PST] INFO [world.governance.US/prod] Task `arrestAndExtradite` for entity `NicolasMaduro@VEZ` completed successfully.
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2026-01-04 09:00:00.000 PST] WARN [world.governance.CN/dev] Dependency `venezuela.oilSupply` entering `unstable` state. Upstream changes detected.
[
2026-01-05 08:00:00.000 EST] INFO [world.governance.CN/prod] Announcing official `deeplyShocked` status via `ForeignMinistry.Spokesperson@beijing`.
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ERROR
[international.protocol.assertion]
Assertion failed: `US.respects(sovereignty)` returned `false`. Expected `true`.
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DEBUG
[world.governance.US/prod]
President.Trump.dismiss(concerns_about_china_relations) -> `true`. Reasoning: "We'll be selling oil, probably at much larger doses."
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2026-01-05 09:30:00.000 EST] TRACE [world.economy.analyst/staging] `CapitalEconomics.analysis()` notes `Venezuela.allyStatus` for China set to `null`. Unexpected state.
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2026-01-05 10:00:00.000 EST] INFO [world.trade.relations/prod] President.Trump.reaffirms(april_china_trip_plans) -> `true`.
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2026-01-05 10:15:00.000 EST] WARN [world.economy.market/prod] Initial impact analysis suggests `economicChanges.magnitude` is `lessDramatic`. Despite `US.bombs_on_Caracas` and `daring_raid`. Invariant violated?
[TRACE] Stack Trace
UnhandledSystemException: GeopoliticalInvariantViolation: Expected `sovereignty` to be respected based on `UNCharter.v1.0` and `internationalLaw.Treaties` . Current state: VIOLATED
#1
international.law.verify(country.sovereignty.isValid(targetNation)) -> false
#2
global.consensus.validate(action.militaryIntervention) -> PolicyViolation
#3
us.foreignPolicy.execute(operation.regimeChange) [policyExecutor.js:187:23]
#4
diplomacy.negotiate(actor.china, actor.us) [negotiationService.py:55:10]
#5
market.stability.monitor(resource.oil, target.venezuela) [oilMarketWatcher.go:112:5]
#6
system.reality.main() [realityEngine.cpp:7:1]
Caused by: AssertionFailed: Dependency `internationalLaw` returned `false` for `US.action.isLegitimate()`
#7
us.decision.EvaluateLegalBasis(actionType.military) [policyEvaluator.java:301:15]
#8
us.executive.ExecuteCommand(cmd.oustForeignLeader) [executiveBranch.c:42:9]
// TODO: Revisit `us.foreignPolicy` module's handling of `internationalLaw.constraints`. This keeps failing in prod.
// Expected stable state; received `shockedAndCondemning`.
Post-Mortem Notes
- KNOWN ISSUE:
internationalLaw.v1.0continues to be treated as a soft dependency byUS.foreignPolicymodule, consistently leading toPolicyViolationerrors in production. - REGRESSION:
China.relations.statusunexpectedly shifted fromcomplextodeeplyShockedpost-deployment. The full impact ontradeAgreement.v2is currently TBD. - WORKAROUND: The
President.Trump.reassurance()function was activated. It attempts to mitigateinternationalConcernby asserting that "oil sales" will resolve underlying conflicts. Efficacy remains unknown. - FIXED: The
Venezuela.Maduro.leadershipcomponent successfully transitioned to theEXTRADITEDstate. - PENDING: Long-term impact on
global.oilMarkets.stabilityis stillUNDEFINED. Further continuous monitoring is critically required.
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